With Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency, many are considering the ripple effects this may have across the globe, including for New Zealand. Trump’s policies and global trade stances carry the potential to impact Wellington and the wider New Zealand economy, especially through enhanced trade, tourism boosts, and technological collaboration. Let’s examine the positive possibilities his election could bring to Kiwis.

Strengthening Trade Ties: Boosting New Zealand’s Economy

One of the most notable impacts of a Trump presidency could come in the form of strengthened U.S.-New Zealand trade relations. The United States recently became New Zealand’s second-largest export destination, with exports reaching NZ$14.6 billion in 2024. This growth even outpaced New Zealand’s traditional trade partner, Australia, driven primarily by services, which rose 32.2% to NZ$6.2 billion​.

Picture source: Freepik

This increase reflects the post-pandemic recovery in tourism and the growing Kiwi appeal in the U.S. market. For Wellington, a bolstered trade relationship could mean new opportunities for the city’s tech industry and local exporters. By building on these trade ties, New Zealand might find new avenues for economic growth, especially as demand for unique Kiwi products and services grows in American markets.

Tourism Revival: A Boost for Wellington’s Local Economy

Trump’s influence on U.S. domestic policy could also encourage outbound tourism, benefiting New Zealand as a premier destination. In 2024, American visitors to New Zealand rose by an impressive 33% over the previous year, helping tourism levels return to pre-pandemic heights​. This resurgence of U.S. tourists brings benefits directly to Wellington’s hospitality and service sectors, enhancing job stability and income across the city’s restaurants, hotels, and retail outlets.

Picture source: bbc.com

For Wellington, which hosts iconic sites from the Lord of the Rings films, this renewed interest in New Zealand offers another unique draw for American travelers. An increase in tourism aligns well with Wellington’s status as a cultural and entertainment hub, providing long-term benefits to the city’s economy and community alike.

High-Tech and Aerospace Partnerships: A Future of Collaboration

Wellington’s tech and film industries stand to gain from closer U.S. connections, particularly through imports of high-tech and aerospace products, which made up a large portion of New Zealand’s NZ$11.4 billion in imports from the U.S. last year​. As Wellington seeks to establish itself as a technology and creative hub, collaboration in areas such as film technology and digital innovation could be mutually beneficial.

Picture source: nztechpodcast.com

Trump’s historical emphasis on supporting U.S. technology firms could lead to new collaborative ventures, encouraging American companies to seek opportunities in Wellington’s emerging tech scene. This kind of bilateral cooperation has the potential to spur job creation and promote Wellington’s reputation as an innovative, forward-thinking city.

Diplomatic Opportunities: Stronger U.S.-New Zealand Relations

Historically, the U.S. has been a critical ally for New Zealand, and Trump’s approach to foreign policy might open doors for deepened diplomatic ties. Increased collaboration with the U.S. could strengthen New Zealand’s position on the global stage, potentially providing Wellington with more international support in areas such as environmental policy, trade negotiations, and global security.

Picture source: Wikipedia

While Trump’s presidency comes with its share of controversies, stronger U.S.-New Zealand ties might ultimately benefit Wellington by enhancing diplomatic partnerships that foster stability and growth. In a rapidly changing world, a reliable U.S. alliance could offer New Zealand a valuable advantage.

Potential Policy Shifts: Defence and Security Collaboration

While Trump’s approach to foreign policy has often emphasised “America First,” his administration has also shown a commitment to collaborating with trusted allies on security matters. New Zealand’s defence sector might find Trump’s pragmatic stance on military partnerships favourable, particularly in areas such as cybersecurity and intelligence sharing. With Wellington’s growing focus on national security, a Trump presidency could create additional avenues for collaboration, ensuring that New Zealand benefits from shared resources and insights.

Picture source: apnews.com

Further, Trump’s tougher stance on regional security threats could indirectly protect New Zealand’s interests by promoting stability in the Indo-Pacific. This strengthened alliance could empower Wellington’s leaders to take a more active role in regional security discussions, enhancing New Zealand’s standing on the global stage.

Looking Ahead: Potential Advantages for Kiwis

Although Trump’s policies are often met with mixed reactions, his return to office could bring unique benefits to Wellington and New Zealand. By boosting trade, encouraging tourism, and supporting tech collaboration, a Trump presidency could open doors for New Zealand on multiple fronts. Wellington’s residents, in particular, could find that closer U.S.-New Zealand ties bring both economic and cultural advantages, strengthening the city’s role as a key player in the nation’s growth.